Person
Philip E Tetlock
Researchers on integrative complexity and how leaders structure thinking under conflict and uncertainty.
Why this matters
This line of work measures whether judgment stays open—or collapses into binary closure under pressure.
Works3 sources
article
Conceptual/Integrative Complexity.
Suedfeld, Peter, Philip E. Tetlock, and Sally Streufert. "Conceptual/Integrative Complexity." In Motivation and Personality: Handbook of Thematic Content Analysis, edited by Charles P. Smith et al., 393–400. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992.
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book
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Tetlock, Philip E., and Dan Gardner. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. New York: Crown, 2015.
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book
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Tetlock, Philip E. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005.
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