Philip E Tetlock — Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Book

The Economy We Don't Experience

Leadership, Communication, and the Credibility Crisis in Economics and Politics

Expanded edition (~28–32k words) on the gap between aggregate economic speech and lived experience—compression, signaling, and leadership under interpretive stress. Distinct from When Interpretation No Longer Matters (authority without shared meaning) and When Incentives Become the Moral Language (metrics replacing judgment).